Afghanistan Upcoming Presidential Elections April, 2014 and its result – Predictions
Khanzada Sabawon
Well, you may hear Afghanistan Presidential Election updates via media, campaigners, politicians and non-political people including family members and friends – always busy discussing upcoming election. Many good friends go against each other favoring their favorite candidates. Unfortunate, most Afghans do not see the eligible, technical and professional candidates, but trying to support their favorite ones – instead we should look for those who could really bring positive change, and it is possible when we forget regional and ethnic issues and look for the one who could really push towards positive change. Among the 11 nominees majority of them are not capable even to talk then what would be expected from them to serve the nation as demanded.
Among the nominees there are two main campaigners Mr. Asharaf Ghani (Ahmadzai and Mr. Abdullah Abdullah). Why these two campaigners are considered on top is due to many reasons, a) they are two main ethnic groups in the country (Pashton and Tajik) plus their political backgrounds and linking other small ethnic groups along with themselves. Now why, Mr. Ashraf Ghani is considered on first position is due to his technicalities and professionalism plus his clear background in civil war and good contacts with the international community – although Mr. Abdulla Abdullah has also good experience of civil war and having strong links with international community, but as far as Mr. Ashraf Ghani is concern he is more respected by youth, especially after the recent (Manazira) discussion at TOLO TV. The second reason is having Mr. Reshid Dostam as his first vice president (a main powerful ethnic group) in northern Afghanistan and a respected Hazara Mr……. as another influential Hazara his second vice president. Another reason of the favoritism of Mr. Ashraf Ghani can be his clear plans and believes maintain good relations with the neighbors and the international community plus positive thinking towards ending insecurity or reconciliations, ending corruption disease, development and strong financial activities.
Results of the first day (5th April, 2014) looks hard as it may go to the second round as the vote would be divided among several nominees. In the first result Mr. Ashraf Ghani may get 35-40% votes and Mr. Abdullah can get 20-30% votes and in the second round Mr. Ashraf Ghani could get over 50%+ votes to become the new President to replace the respected man Mr. Karzai. However, the result can change due to involvement of international community or interference of the anti-government elements and Taliban, who have already refused the elections.
All this information is based on my personal experience and visits to many locations at recent to remote and isolated areas. Will write more and would share with you as the Election Day is coming on forehead.
Thanks,
Khanzada Sabawon,
Mob: +93 (0) 799 31 77 76
Email:Khanzada.sabawon@gmail.com
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